rom a newly release report by Philip J. Klotzbach, and William M. Gray, "Extended Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and U.S. Landfall Strike Probability for 2008," from the Colorado State University, Department of Atmospheric Science (accessed at:http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/):
“Information obtained through March 2008 indicates that the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season will be much more active than the average 1950-2000 season. We estimate that 2008 will have about 8 hurricanes (average is 5.9), 15 named storms (average is 9.6), 80 named storm days (average is 49.1), 40 hurricane days (average is 24.5), 4 intense (Category 3-4-5) hurricanes (average is 2.3) and 9 intense hurricane days (average is 5.0).”
According to the report, the probability of an intense hurricane hitting the U.S. during this season is 69 percent (average is 52 percent).
This 32 page paper is on more than a forecast for this next season. It explains how projections can be put to use.